CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-02-08T10:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-02-08T10:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36938/-1
CME Note: Faint CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, not clearly visible in STEREO A COR2. Source is an M2.0 flare and associated eruption from AR 13981 (N07W41). Opening field lines and dimming seen starting at 2025-02-08T09:09Z, best seen in SDO AIA 193. The eruption is also seen from the point of view of STEREO A EUV 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-02-12T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/36942/1 Model Inputs: 2025-02-08T10:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=40.0, Lat.=1.0, Speed=256.0, HalfAngle=42.0, Time21.5=2025-02-09T00:10Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-02-12T06:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: STEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-02-12T16:35Z Juice with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-02-11T18:00Z Lucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-02-13T08:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250209_001000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 78.90 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M SWAO) on 2025-02-08T23:06Z
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